With increasing probability of longevity technologies, it is likely that a social tension will occur between old and young generations. How might the adoption pattern of
TransHuman thinking look? Longevity is appreciated as a social value. The inevitability of death is a believed axiom for at least 99.9% of the population on
PlanetEarth in the year 2008. Even in groups of higher income, better education and healthcare, the group of beliefers in significant personal longevity will not be much higher. The
ImMortal'ity memes will probably spread in the young generation. The argumentation of
RayKurzweil and
AubreyDeGrey: A main trend line is the slowing, ending and reversing of aging. This will reduce the risk of death mainly to diseases, accidents and violent death. The long-term
IntelligenceExplosion might allow to cure more and more mainstream diseases, reducing the risks further to rare and eccentric diseases. This will transform the axiom of lethality to a more and more unlikely special case. It will transform the default expectation of the entire culture. This might happen in the time horizon of 2020-2030 (
MeanValue: 2025,
ConFidence: 0.8). The post
MortalIsm era is hard to imagine, because it will coincide with a
PostSingular era:
the difference between generations will disappear. In the pre-ImMortal era, the old generations were subject to increasing health care. In the ImMortal age, the human InBody can be permanently optimized. The life experience of most people will be digitized and available for sharing. The genealogical tree of mankind will be available in a unprecendented level of detail. In a true
PostSingular scenario, human
ConScious'ness will
ConVerg'e with digital brain enhancements and the human body will be a part of minor relevance in a system of
SelfImprove'ing bio-robotics.